Key Points:
- Confirmed cases 1 781 053
- Deaths 108 854
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- Indonesia orders transport curbs ahead of Ramadan exodus
- Thailand reports 33 new cases, three new deaths
- Guatemala registers 16 new cases, infections rise to 153
- China reports 99 new coronavirus cases
- India reports 909 new cases as states agree to extend lockdown
- Saudi Arabia extends curfew until further notice, according to state media
- SA government plans for Covid-19 to peak in September but questions about data remain
India reports 909 new cases as states agree to extend lockdown
India’s health ministry said as of 8 a.m. local time on April 12, there were at least 8,356 total cases in the country, including 273 deaths. Some 715 people are said to have recovered. The worst-affected states and union territories in India are Maharashtra, Delhi, and Tamil Nadu.
Sunday’s number marked an increase of 909 cases from the 7,447 total confirmed cases reported as of yesterday evening by the Press Information Bureau.
India looks set to extend its 21-day lockdown at least till the end of the month. Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal tweeted about the decision on Saturday. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi has yet to formally announce the decision, a summary of his latest meeting with all the state chief ministers indicated there was consensus for an extension.
The Chief Ministers suggested that Lockdown should be extended by two weeks,” the summary said.
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SA government plans for Covid-19 to peak in September but questions about data remain
The extended five-week national lockdown has postponed South Africa’s worst-case Covid-19 scenario to September, a government projection shows.
With no lockdown, South Africa was estimated to reach its peak coronavirus infections in July. A five-week lockdown, that has paralysed the economy, is buying the government two more months to prepare for a flooding of hospitals at the end of winter.
This is according to a presentation made to Parliament’s portfolio committee on health this week by the acting director general of the department of health, Anban Pillay, a copy of which News24 has obtained.
It is the most detailed official analysis yet of the current situation that has been made public since the first infection was reported at the beginning of March.
Other key findings in Pillay’s presentation include:
- In a worst-case scenario, Gauteng would see over 1.5 million Covid-19 infections at the end of winter, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with one million;
- The country has less than half the number of ventilators needed to deal with peak infection. Public and private hospitals currently have a total of 3 216 ventilators, compared to the 7 000 we need, and
- The country currently has 4 909 critical care hospital beds available, but the need for beds in intensive care units could exceed 14 700 at the highest level of infection.
Only “severe to critical Covid-19 patients” will be treated at hospitals, while “mild to moderately infected patients” will be accommodated at field hospitals where basic medical care will be provided.
The government’s “readiness for worst case scenario” plan was informed by research from UCT’s Modelling and Simulation Hub Africa. According to this scenario, if the lockdown was suspended this Thursday after three weeks, the peak would have hit the country around 18 August.
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